- MCSE Magazine -

The Power of shared Knowledge

Sitemap  |  Kostenloses Newsletter  |  Fragen & Kontakt  |                      Business & IT Management - MCSE Magazine
Consulting Articles
Consulting  
Infrastructure  
Government
Projects  
Strategy Forum
Strategic Guides
Corporate
Methods
Governance
Sarbane Oxley
HR in IT
Solutions Forum
Business Solutions
ITC Communication
e-Business
e-Commerce
Mobility Services
Work Life Balance
Work & Live
Etiquette
Style Guide
Traveller
Manage Stress
Service
Book Reviews
Software Discounts
Publisher
Impressum  
Editors 
Advertise
Partners

 

 

 
 

Data Analysis & Decision Making With Microsoft Excel

 
 


by

S. Christian Albright - Indiana University, School of Business
Wayne Winston - Indiana University, Kelley School of Business
Christopher Zappe - Bucknell University

ISBN: 053438367X
Publisher: Duxbury Press / Thomson Learning
Pub. Date: 15 July, 2002
Format: Hardcover
Volumes: 1
List Price(USD): $101.95

 
 


Book Description

The emphasis of the text is on data analysis, modeling, and spreadsheet use in statistics and management science. This text contains professional Excel software add-ins. The authors maintain the elements that have made this text a market leader in its first edition: clarity of writing, a teach-by-example approach, and complete Excel integration.

Table of Contents


1. Introduction to Data Analysis and Decision Making.
Introduction. An Overview of the Book. The Methods. A Sampling of Examples. Mode ling and Models. Conclusion.


Part I: GETTING, DESCRIBING, AND SUMMARIZING DATA.

2. Describing Data: Graphs and Tables.
Introduction. Basic Concepts. Frequency Tables and Histograms. Analyzing Relatio nships with Scatterplots. Time Series Plots. Exploring Data with Pivot Tables. C onclusion.
3. Describing Data: Summary Measures.
Introduction. Measures of Central Location. Quartiles and Percentiles. Minimum, Maximum, and Range. Measures of Variability: Variance and Standard Deviation. Ob taining Summary Measures with Add-Ins. Measures of Association: Covariance and C orrelation. Describing Data Sets with Boxplots. Applying the Tools. Conclusion.
4. Getting the Right Data.
Introduction. Sources of Data. Using Excel's AutoFilter. Complex Queries with th e Advanced Filter. Importing External Data from Access. Creating Pivot Tables fr om External Data. Web Queries. Other Data Sources On The Web. Cleansing The Data . Conclusion.


PART II: PROBABILITY, UNCERTAINTY, AND DECISION MAKING.
5. Probability and Probability Distributions.
Introduction. Probability Essentials. Distribution of a Single Random Variable. An Introduction to Simulation. Distribution of Two Random Variables: Scenario Ap proach. Distribution of Two Random Variables: Joint Probability Approach. Indepe ndent Random Variables. Weighted Sums of Random Variables. Conclusion.
6. Normal, Binomial, Poisson, and Exponential Distributions.
Introduction. The Normal Distribution. Applications of the Normal Distribution. The Binomial Distribution. Applications of the Binomial Distribution. The Poisso n and Exponential Distributions. Fitting a Probability Distribution to Data: Bes tFit. Conclusion.
7. Decision Making Under Uncertainty.
Introduction. Elements of a Decision Analysis. The PrecisionTree Add-In. More Si ngle-Stage Examples. Multistage Decision Problems. Bayes' Rule. Incorporating At titudes Toward Risk. Conclusion.


Part III: STATISTICAL INFERENCE.
8. Sampling and Sampling Distributions.
Introduction. Sampling Terminology. Methods for Selecting Random Samples. An Int roduction to Estimation. Conclusion.
9. Confidence Interval Estimation.
Introduction. Sampling Distributions. Confidence Interval for a Mean. Confidence Interval for a Total. Confidence Interval for a Proportion. Confidence Interval for a Standard Deviation. Confidence Interval for the Difference between Means. Confidence Interval for the Difference between Proportions. Controlling Confide nce Interval Length. Conclusion.
10. Hypothesis Testing.
Introduction. Concepts in Hypothesis Testing. Hypothesis Tests for a Population Mean. Hypothesis Tests for Other Parameters. Tests for Normality. Chi-Square Tes t for Independence. One-Way ANOVA. Conclusion.


Part IV: REGRESSION, FORECASTING, AND TIME SERIES.
11. Regression Analysis: Estimating Relationships.
Introduction. Scatterplots: Graphing Relationships. Correlations: Indicators of Linear Relationships. Simple Linear Regression. Multiple Regression. Modeling Po ssibilities. Validation of the Fit. Conclusion.
12. Regression Analysis: Statistical Inference.
Introduction. The Statistical Model. Inferences about the Regression Coefficient s. Multicollinearity. Include/Exclude Decisions. Stepwise Regression. The Partia l F Test. Outliers. Violations of Regression Assumptions. Prediction. Conclusion .
13. Time Series Analysis and Forecasting.
Introduction. Forecasting Methods: An Overview. Testing for Randomness. Regressi on-Based Trend Models. The Random Walk Model. Autoregression Models. Moving Aver ages. Exponential Smoothing. Seasonal Models. Conclusion.


Part V: DECISION MODELING.
14. Introduction to Optimization Modeling.
Introduction. A Brief History of Linear Programming. Introduction to LP Modeling . Sensitivity Analysis and the SolverTable Add-In. The Linear Assumptions. Graph ical Solution Method. Infeasibility and Unboundedness. A Multiperiod Production Problem. A Decision Support System. Conclusion.
15. Optimization Modeling: Applications.
Introduction. Workforce Scheduling Models. Blending Models. Logistics Models. Ag gregate Planning Models. Dynamic Financial Models. Integer Programming Models. N onlinear Models. Conclusion.
16. Simulation Models.
Introduction. Random Numbers. Introduction to Spreadsheet Simulation. Selecting Probability Distributions. Simulating with @Risk. Financial Planning Models. Cas h Balance Models. Simulating Stock Prices and Options. Market Share Models. Simu lating Correlated Values. Using TopRank with @Risk for Powerful Modeling. Conclu sion.



 
  Pre Review

We found the structure of the book in line with the quality it should have.

Printing mistakes were not found. The descriptive displays of methodologies were well set up.


 
 
Rating Areas Rating
Quality of Information AB
Easiness of understanding B
Learning success, close to reality A
Cover Design and Layout A
Quality for Money value A-
 
 

Final Review

This excellent book will guide you into the area of micro economics. It not just because of wonderful design and pretty pictures that this book gets such good reviews.

I have tested the complete book by reading from front to back and assessing my knowledge by passing a simulated academic test. Key areas are explained and you get enough diagrams to understand the way shortages and surpluses affect the economy. But as I noticed being tired after a long working day, I needed to exercise my understanding by using the offered study guide.

I have enjoyed this book and expanded my knowledge at a high quality level. This is a real A+ Quality for Money Product. It is certainly a large, heavy book but the paper, the print and cover are well produced.

I personally can only recommend this book to any freshman at english speaking universities. I understand that many universites in the US and Australia use this as a basis to train their students.

New to the Edition


Updated CD-ROM packaged with every textbook. The most recent versions of StatPro, @Risk, Precision Tree, Best Fit, RISKView, Top Rank, and Solver Table along with data files, and appendices are included on the CD-ROM.

New pedagogical features explain concepts even more clearly at the outset, especially in the statistics chapters. New features include: margin notes, boxed-in definitions (and formulas) in the text, enhanced explanations in the text itself, and stated objectives for the examples.

A list of key terms and formulas appears at the end of each chapter to make it easier for students to study and for instructors to teach.

The book is now divided into PARTS: Part I: Getting, Describing, and Summarizing Data (Chapters 2-4); Part II: Probability, Uncertainty, and Decision Making (Chapters 5-7); Part III: Statistical Inference (Chapters 8-10); Part IV: Regression, Time Series, and Forecasting (Chapters 11-13); and Part V: Decision Modeling (Chapters 14-16). This provides a clearer view of the organization of the book.

The data for many of the problems have been updated to be as timely as possible. This is specifically true for time series data. Many of the data sets now end in 2000 or 2001.

The conceptual exercises at the end of each chapter wither test the concepts or ask more open-ended questions - as opposed to the many number-crunching problems already in the book.

Chapter 4 Getting The Right Data is new and deals with getting the right data into Excel for analysis. This includes discussion of Excel's own database tools, getting data from an external database such as Access into Excel, and getting data from the Web into Excel. It also includes sections on sources of data and cleansing data.

Chapter 5, Probability and Probability Distributions, has been revised significantly. The more advanced examples have been simplified or eliminated.

Chapter 6, Normal, Binomial, Poisson, and Exponential Distributions, now contains a brief discussion of the exponential distribution.

Chapter 8, Sampling and Sampling Distributions, has been reorganized significantly, increasing the strength and logic of the conceptual development.

Chapter 10, Hypothesis Testing, now has a section on the chi-square test for independence (which can be carried out with StatPro).

Chapter 13, Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, has been entirely reorganized. As examples, there is now an introductory section on the various components of a time series (level, trend, seasonality, and noise), and the techniques for handling seasonality are all contained in a single section.


About the Author


S. Christian Albright
Chris Albright received his B.S. degree in Mathematics from Stanford in 1968 and his Ph.D. in Operations Research from Stanford in 1972. Since then, he has been teaching in the Operations and Decision Technologies Department in the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. He has taught courses in management science, computer simulation, and statistics to all levels of business students: undergraduates, MBAs, and doctoral students. He has published over 20 articles in leading operations research journals in the area of applied probability, and he has authored other successful Duxbury titles including PRACTICAL MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, Second Edition, VBA FOR MODELERS, and DATA ANALYSIS AND DECISION MAKING, Second Edition. His current interest is in spreadsheet modeling, including development of VBA applications in Excel.

Wayne Winston
Wayne L. Winston is Professor of Operations and Decision Technologies in the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University, where he has taught since 1975. Wayne received his B.S. degree in Mathematics from MIT and his Ph.D. degree in Operations Research from Yale. He has written the successful textbooks OPERATIONS RESEARCH: APPLICATIONS AND ALGORITHMS, MATHEMATICAL PROGRAMMING: APPLICATIONS AND ALGORITHMS, SIMULATION MODELING WITH @RISK, PRATICAL MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, AND FINANCIAL MODELS USING SIMULATION AND OPTIMIZATION. Wayne has published over 20 articles in leading journals and has won many teaching awards, including the school-wide MBA award four times. His current interest is in showing how spreadsheet models can be used to solve business problems in all disciplines, particularly in finance and marketing.

Christopher Zappe
Chris Zappe earned his BA in mathematics from DePauw University in 1983 and his MBA and Ph.D. in Decision Sciences from Indiana University in 1987 and 1988, respectively. Between 1988 and 1993, he performed research and taught various courses in the decision sciences area at the University of Florida in the College of Business Administration. Since 1993, Chris has been serving as an associate professor of decision sciences in the Department of Management at Bucknell University. He currently teaches undergraduate courses in business statistics, decision analysis, and computer simulation. Moreover, Chris teaches advanced seminars in applied game theory, system dynamics, risk assessment, and mathematical economics. He has published articles in various journals including Managerial and Decision Economics, OMEGA, Naval Research Logistics, and Interfaces, and is co-author of DATA ANALYSIS AND DECISION MAKING. His current scholarly interests focus on mathematical programming models of performance appraisal processes and innovative pedagogies in operations research/management science.

 

 
  Result  
 

Do not let your professor catch you without a mankiw book!!

 
  Review done by: C.Bartsch, Consultant  
  Special Promotions
AVG Internet Security

Save postage and get Key online

Weekend offer!

only 75 €

AVG Anti-Virus

Save postage and get Key online

Weekend offer!

only 32 €

 

Get complete protection from the most dangerous threats on the internet - worms, viruses, trojans, spyware, and adware.

incl.

Anti-Spyware

"1 computer 1 year"

Get it for 32€ incl. VAT!

Save up to 15€!

PROMOTION


 ©2001-2007 MCSE Magazine - All Rights Reserved Terms of Use